Commercial real estate borrowers scramble for deals amidst rate volatility
Commercial real estate borrowers scramble for deals amidst rate volatility

Commercial real estate borrowers scramble for deals amidst rate volatility

Lòrdèss Mãggìë II

17 min
Business & Finance
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<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">There’s no let down to rate volatility, with the financial markets anticipating the Fed meeting on Wednesday. That day, it is set to announce the timing and pacing of tapering.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">An employment report is due on Friday this week, which will likely reveal disappointing numbers. All this means that the Ten-year is expected to be range-bound 1.51 and 1.74 until the end of the year.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The one-month LIBOR still sits at 8 basis points, BSBY is at 6.5, while a one-month term SOFR is at about 4.5 basis points. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">However, Analyst Jay Saunders notes the slight fall in inflation in the U.S. means the Fed may just talk about tapering instead of implementing, while continuing to monitor economic indicators. </span></p> <h1><span style="font-weight: 400;">Rate volatility for the Ten-year</span></h1> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jay discusses in detail what is available from commercial real estate borrowers, noting that three-year treasuries traded in a range of about 11 basis points last week, in what was a very volatile week. Jay notes that as rates increase the economy is beginning to slow. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Jay predicts: “We're going to continue to see that as people grapple with the timing of the fed taper, which has now been pulled forward to June of next year.”</span></p> <h1><span style="font-weight: 400;">CRE borrowers desperate to close deals</span></h1> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Within Thirty Capital, Analyst Jeff Lee says he’s seeing “Continued craziness. We’re still getting emails over the weekend saying: ‘Hey, got clients, can you help them with a year-end deal?’.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">“We're kind of falling within the final week or so to even have a shot (at finalizing a deal). But I think a lot of these transactions on the other side of the defeasance might be hindered by third-part

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