Carl Shulman (Pt 2) - AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far Future

<p>The second half of my 7 hour conversation with <a target="_blank" href="http://reflectivedisequilibrium.blogspot.com/">Carl Shulman</a> is out!</p><p>My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.</p><p>Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:</p><p>* AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,</p><p>* use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,</p><p>* build mechanical armies,</p><p>* spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,</p><p>* offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etc</p><p>Plus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:</p><p>* what is the far future best case scenario for humanity</p><p>* what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month</p><p>* how do we detect deception in superhuman models</p><p>* does space warfare favor defense or offense</p><p>* is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run</p><p>* why markets haven't priced in explosive economic growth</p><p>* & much more</p><p>Carl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.</p><p>Watch on <a target="_blank" href="https://youtu.be/KUieFuV1fuo">YouTube</a>. Listen on <a target="_blank" href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/carl-shulman-pt-2-ai-takeover-bio-cyber-attacks-detecting/id1516093381?i=1000618373055">Apple Podcasts</a>, <a target="_blank" href="https://open.spotify.com/episode/6hmjyUtB1z4OCIuiFdvykS?si=AlGEAnfSQk6u6CSpX2roAg">Spotify</a>, or any other podcast platform. Read the full transcript <a target="_blank" href="https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/carl-shulman-2">here</a>. Follow <a target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp">me on Twitter</a> for updates on future episodes.</p><p>Catch part 1 <a target="_blank" href="https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/carl-shulman">here</a></p><p><strong>80,000 hours</strong></p><p>This episode is sponsored by 80,000 hours